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4 November 2026

Lawson’s 2026 surge puts his future at Racing Bulls in doubt

Lawson dominates the midfield, yet a technical disqualification throws his 2027 future into question.

Lawson’s 2026 surge puts his future at Racing Bulls in doubt

Liam Lawson has emerged as the standout performer of the 2026 Formula 1 midfield. With 83 points already on the board, his tally is nearly double that of the next best, Pierre Gasly, who sits on 42. Even when accounting for his brief three-race stint with Red Bull, Lawson’s points-per-race average (4.67) barely exceeds his numbers at Racing Bulls (4.31), underscoring a consistency that has lifted the Italian-based team’s results.

Lawson’s 2026 midfield dominance

Beyond raw points, Lawson has proved his speed in qualifying. In head-to-head sessions against rookie teammate Arvid Lindblad, he leads 12-6 overall and enjoys a 0.072-second advantage when the atypical Melbourne sprint is ignored – narrowing to 0.027 seconds in pure qualifying. In race trim, Lawson is on average 0.141 seconds quicker than Lindblad, a margin that translates into better grid positions and, consequently, more points. Over the last four grands prix, the New Zealander amassed 24 points – outpacing not only his teammate Isack Hadjar but also established star George Russell.

Seat battle at Racing Bulls for 2027

Despite his form, Lawson’s future at the Faenza-based outfit is far from guaranteed. Red Bull’s junior programme has identified Formula 2 champion contender Nikola Tsolov as a potential replacement for the second Racing Bulls seat. Tsolov has already seized six victories in the opening 14 races of the 2026 F2 season, though his qualifying pace lags behind rivals and he has not stood on the podium in the last eleven events. He remains within seven points of championship leader Rafael Camara, who is set to debut with Haas at the Brazilian GP, keeping his own title hopes alive.

Meanwhile, Lindblad’s rookie campaign has been solid, yet Lawson’s superior qualifying record and race-pace consistency keep him ahead. The looming 2027 decision from Red Bull hinges on whether Lawson’s recent performances merit a promotion back to the senior team or whether the organisation will look elsewhere, possibly allowing Tsolov to explore a Super Formula route – a path that previously delivered F1 seats to Pierre Gasly and Lawson himself.

Mexico disqualification and technical breach

The drama intensified at the Mexico City Grand Prix when Lawson qualified eighth, only to be stripped of his time after the stewards discovered a breach of the minimum MGU-K power requirement. The FIA technical delegate reported that the driver’s power demand and the ERS-K’s electrical output dropped faster than the regulations allow, a violation that persisted after crossing the control line on his fastest Q2 lap. Despite Racing Bulls’ admission of the infraction, the penalty was upheld, relegating Lawson to the back of the grid for the race.

The decision emphasized that compliance with technical regulations is mandatory regardless of perceived performance advantage. Lawson’s team argued the breach did not confer a speed gain, but precedent dictates disqualification when the car fails to meet the stipulated standards. This setback adds another layer of uncertainty to Lawson’s contract talks, as each points finish now carries the weight of an ongoing seat debate.

In the post-race media session, Lawson was asked about the irony of his strong results juxtaposed with an unsettled future. He replied, “It’s obviously a massive shame, but it’s something I’m just having to deal with at the moment. I’m obviously trying to do everything I can each time I get in the race car.” Whether his perseverance will translate into a renewed contract or a departure remains to be seen, but the combination of on-track performance and off-track technical controversy makes the upcoming offseason pivotal for the New Zealand driver.

Author

Florence Wright

Florence Wright, Glasgow native with an editorial-minimal aesthetic, rerouted a social feed to live-cover a Pollok Park remembrance event, prioritising human detail over algorithmic reach. Promotes clarity, humane framing and local resonance; keeps an archive of Polaroids from neighbourhood gatherings as a personal emblem.