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Global GDP growth projections
The global GDP growth rate is projected to stabilize at approximately 3.2% for 2026, reflecting a modest increase from 3.0% in 2025. This growth is attributed to the recovery of economies following the pandemic and increased consumer spending.
Inflation rates and monetary policy
Inflation is expected to average around 2.5% in major economies, slightly down from 3.1% in 2025. Central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, are likely to maintain interest rates, currently set between 4.5% and 5.0%, to combat inflation without hindering growth.
Labor market dynamics
The global unemployment rate is forecasted to decline to 5.0% in 2026, improved from 5.4% in 2025. This decrease is driven by robust job creation in sectors such as technology and green energy.
Trade and investment flows
International trade volumes are expected to grow by 4.5% in 2026, following an increase of 3.8% in 2025. This growth is influenced by the easing of trade barriers and a resurgence in global supply chains.
Sectoral performance expectations
Sectors such as renewable energy and technology are projected to see the highest growth rates, with estimated increases of 8.0% and 7.5% respectively. In contrast, traditional sectors like oil and gas may face stagnation as global energy transitions continue.